A Way-Too-Early 2014 Fantasy Football WAR Ranking

If you have ever played fantasy football, you know that quarterback is the most plentiful position, with tons of solid starters available for pickup off of the waiver wire, and running back is the most scarce, with very little top-flight talent. What I set out to do was to truly quantify the “Wins Above Replacement” of each Fantasy Football Player, by creating a “replacement-level” baseline for each position (essentially a player that you could pick up off of the waiver wire throughout the year), and then calculating which players had the most projected 2014 points above their position’s replacement level. Using 2014 projections from DraftShark.com (future projections may change, due to drawing on a combination of different projection services when they put out their 2014 projections, such as NumberFire or ESPN), I created the CornerThree WAR Top 200 Fantasy Football Players for 2014 (based off of PPR fantasy football).

Postion and Overall Rank     Player                                                                    CornerThree Fantasy WAR

RB 1 Charles,Jamaal 1.813
RB 2 McCoy,LeSean 1.793
WR 3 Thomas,Demaryius 1.79
WR 4 Marshall,Brandon 1.63
WR 5 Bryant,Dez 1.54
RB 6 Peterson,Adrian 1.513
WR 7 Jones,Julio 1.51
WR 8 Green,A.J. 1.43
WR 9 Johnson,Calvin 1.43
RB 10 Forte,Matt 1.413
RB 11 Manning,Peyton 1.36
RB 12 Lacy,Eddie 1.313
WR 13 Johnson,Andre 1.19
WR 14 Cruz,Victor 1.18
RB 15 Ellington,Andre 1.173
RB 16 Murray,DeMarco 1.173
RB 17 Ball,Montee 1.153
RB 18 Martin,Doug 1.143
RB 19 Moreno,Knowshon 1.143
QB 20 Brees,Drew 1.14
WR 21 Brown,Antonio 1.13
RB 22 Lynch,Marshawn 1.123
WR 23 Jackson,Vincent 1.12
RB 24 Gerhart,Toby 1.093
RB 25 Foster,Arian 1.093
WR 26 Jeffery,Alshon 1.07
RB 27 Stacy,Zac 1.043
WR 28 Patterson,Cordarrelle 1.02
WR 29 Nelson,Jordy 1.01
RB 30 Spiller,C.J. 0.983
WR 31 Edelman,Julian 0.98
QB 32 Stafford,Matthew 0.97
RB 33 Bell,Le’Veon 0.963
RB 34 Bush,Reggie 0.923
QB 35 Foles,Nick 0.9
TE 36 Graham,Jimmy 0.89
WR 37 Welker,Wes 0.89
WR 38 Wayne,Reggie 0.89
RB 39 Johnson,Chris 0.883
WR 40 Crabtree,Michael 0.88
RB 41 Jackson,Fred 0.873
WR 42 Allen,Keenan 0.87
WR 43 Fitzgerald,Larry 0.87
RB 44 Rice,Ray 0.843
WR 45 Decker,Eric 0.83
WR 46 White,Roddy 0.83
WR 47 Garcon,Pierre 0.83
RB 48 Bernard,Giovani 0.813
WR 49 Cobb,Randall 0.8
QB 50 Luck,Andrew 0.79
QB 51 Rodgers,Aaron 0.79
WR 52 Watkins,Sammy 0.75
RB 53 Jackson,Steven 0.743
QB 54 Kaepernick,Colin 0.74
RB 55 Tate,Ben 0.663
QB 56 Brady,Tom 0.65
WR 57 Jones,James 0.64
WR 58 Jackson,DeSean 0.64
TE 59 Thomas,Julius 0.62
QB 60 Wilson,Russell 0.61
RB 61 Morris,Alfred 0.603
TE 62 Rudolph,Kyle 0.6
RB 63 Gore,Frank 0.593
RB 64 Jones-Drew,Maurice 0.573
WR 65 Wallace,Mike 0.57
QB 66 Ryan,Matt 0.56
TE 67 Witten,Jason 0.55
WR 68 Colston,Marques 0.55
QB 69 Newton,Cam 0.55
TE 70 Pitta,Dennis 0.54
WR 71 Shorts,Cecil 0.52
QB 72 Cutler,Jay 0.52
TE 73 Davis,Vernon 0.51
WR 74 Smith,Torrey 0.51
WR 75 Maclin,Jeremy 0.51
RB 76 Woodhead,Danny 0.503
D/ST 77 Seahawks,Seattle 0.48
RB 78 Williams,DeAngelo 0.473
RB 79 Sankey,Bishop 0.473
WR 80 Woods,Robert 0.47
WR 81 Wright,Kendall 0.47
TE 82 Reed,Jordan 0.45
WR 83 Bowe,Dwayne 0.45
RB 84 Jennings,Rashad 0.433
WR 85 Floyd,Michael 0.43
QB 86 Griffin III,Robert 0.43
WR 87 Hilton,T.Y. 0.42
RB 88 Thomas,Pierre 0.413
 RB 89 Richardson,Trent 0.403
RB 90 McFadden,Darren 0.403
RB 91 Mathews,Ryan 0.393
RB 92 Bell,Joique 0.393
WR 93 Jennings,Greg 0.39
QB 94 Dalton,Andy 0.39
D/ST 95 Bears,Chicago 0.36
WR 96 Nicks,Hakeem 0.34
WR 97 Harvin,Percy 0.33
WR 98 Cooper,Riley 0.32
QB 99 Roethlisberger,Ben 0.32
WR 100 Kerley,Jeremy 0.31
D/ST 101 Patriots,New England 0.31
TE 102 Clay,Charles 0.3
RB 103 Ridley,Stevan 0.253
TE 104 Cameron,Jordan 0.25
WR 105 Hartline,Brian 0.25
TE 106 Green,Ladarius 0.24
TE 107 Olsen,Greg 0.24
WR 108 Jones,Marvin 0.22
TE 109 Gronkowski,Rob 0.21
WR 110 Cotchery,Jerricho 0.21
QB 111 Romo,Tony 0.21
RB 112 Vereen,Shane 0.203
WR 113 Amendola,Danny 0.18
QB 114 Rivers,Philip 0.17
WR 115 Williams,Terrance 0.16
RB 116 Greene,Shonn 0.143
WR 117 Stills,Kenny 0.12
TE 118 Graham,Garrett 0.11
TE 119 Walker,Delanie 0.1
WR 120 Austin,Miles 0.1
D/ST 121 Chiefs,Kansas City 0.1
WR 122 Lee,Marqise 0.09
WR 123 Hunter,Justin 0.08
WR 124 Benjamin,Kelvin 0.08
WR 125 Tate,Golden 0.08
WR 126 Moore,Denarius 0.08
D/ST 127 Rams,St. Louis 0.08
RB 128 Sproles,Darren 0.073
TE 129 Ebron,Eric 0.06
WR 130 Evans,Mike 0.06
WR 131 Ginn Jr.,Ted 0.06
QB 132 Smith,Alex 0.06
TE 133 Rivera,Mychal 0.05
TE 134 Miller,Heath 0.05
WR 135 Smith,Steve 0.05
D/ST 136 Steelers,Pittsburgh 0.04
D/ST 137 Bengals,Cincinnati 0.04
TE   138 Allen,Dwayne 0.03
D/ST 139 Titans,Tennessee 0.03
WR 140 Williams,Mike 0.02
WR 141 Floyd,Malcom 0.02
WR 142 Boykin,Jarrett 0.02
D/ST 143 49ers,San Francisco 0.02
QB 144 Palmer,Carson 0.01
WR 145 Moore,Lance 0
D/ST 146 Browns,Cleveland 0
WR 147 Hopkins,DeAndre -0.01
WR 148 Gordon,Josh -0.01
QB 149 McCown,Josh -0.01
D/ST 150 Redskins,Washington -0.01
WR 151 Cooks,Brandin -0.02
TE   152 Gates,Antonio -0.03
TE 153 Bennett,Martellus -0.03
WR 154 Baldwin,Doug -0.04
TE 155 Ertz,Zach -0.05
TE 156 Gresham,Jermaine -0.05
D/ST 157 Vikings,Minnesota -0.05
WR 158 Washington,Nate -0.06
RB 159 Ivory,Chris -0.067
TE 160 Cook,Jared -0.07
WR 161 Nelson,David -0.07
D/ST 162 Packers,Green Bay -0.07
D/ST 163 Cowboys,Dallas -0.08
RB 164 Rodgers,Jacquizz -0.087
WR 165 Burleson,Nate -0.09
QB 166 Tannehill,Ryan -0.09
D/ST 167 Bills,Buffalo -0.09
TE 168 Eifert,Tyler -0.1
WR 169 Austin,Tavon -0.1
TE 170 Seferian-Jenkins,Austin -0.11
WR 171 Robinson,Allen -0.11
TE 172 Chandler,Scott -0.12
WR 173 Givens,Chris -0.12
D/ST 174 Panthers,Carolina -0.13
D/ST 175 Buccaneers,Tampa Bay -0.14
D/ST 176 Lions,Detroit -0.16
D/ST 177 Texans,Houston -0.17
D/ST  178 Dolphins,Miami -0.17
QB 179 Manziel,Johnny -0.18
RB 180 Ingram,Mark -0.187
RB 181 Anderson,C.J. -0.197
TE 182 Lewis,Marcedes -0.21
TE 183 Celek,Brent -0.21
TE 184 Amaro,Jace -0.22
QB 185 Smith,Geno -0.22
D/ST 186 Broncos,Denver -0.22
RB 187 Taylor,Stepfan -0.227
TE 188 Finley,Jermichael -0.24
D/ST 189 Colts,Indianapolis -0.24
RB 190 Stewart,Jonathan -0.247
TE 191 Pettigrew,Brandon -0.25
RB 192 Green-Ellis,BenJarvus -0.257
QB 193 Bradford,Sam -0.28
QB 194 Manuel,E.J. -0.29
QB 195 Manning,Eli -0.3
RB 196 Reece,Marcel -0.307
TE 197 Miller,Zach -0.32
RB 198 Blount,LeGarrette -0.337
TE 199 Fauria,Joseph -0.35
QB 200 Flacco,Joe -0.35

Some notes on these rankings: Josh Gordon’s projection has been hurt by his uncertain future, which finds him with a WAR around replacement level, because he could play 4, 16 or 0 games this season.
One find that somewhat surprised me was how many WRs stayed at the top of the rankings, with DeMariyus Thomas hitting the top 5.

by Robert Garcia, Northwestern University

Advertisements

One thought on “A Way-Too-Early 2014 Fantasy Football WAR Ranking

Leave a Reply

Fill in your details below or click an icon to log in:

WordPress.com Logo

You are commenting using your WordPress.com account. Log Out / Change )

Twitter picture

You are commenting using your Twitter account. Log Out / Change )

Facebook photo

You are commenting using your Facebook account. Log Out / Change )

Google+ photo

You are commenting using your Google+ account. Log Out / Change )

Connecting to %s