NBA TSP

Here is Corner Three’s NBA TSP (Team Strength Prediction) ranking for 2018-2019. The first of its kind, it takes into account key offensive and defensive indicators that correlate strongly to points scored and points prevented, as well as individual player quality, then creates a strength prediction normalized to a projected number of wins, all based on years of data. Last updated 4/11/2019.

Rk Team Wins Losses TSP
1 Golden State Warriors 57 25 65.5
2 Milwaukee Bucks 60 22 62.5
3 Oklahoma City Thunder 49 33 58.2
4 Houston Rockets 53 29 57.7
5 Toronto Raptors 58 24 54.9
6 Portland Trail Blazers 53 29 53.7
7 Denver Nuggets 54 28 53.5
8 Utah Jazz 50 32 52.3
9 Philadelphia 76ers 51 31 48.8
10 Boston Celtics 49 33 48.3
11 Orlando Magic 42 40 44.1
12 Indiana Pacers 48 34 43.5
13 Los Angeles Clippers 48 34 43.3
14 San Antonio Spurs 48 34 43.1
15 Detroit Pistons 41 41 43.1
16 New Orleans Pelicans 33 49 38.9
17 Sacramento Kings 39 43 37.0
18 Charlotte Hornets 39 43 36.4
19 Brooklyn Nets 42 40 36.2
20 Memphis Grizzlies 33 49 35.6
21 Miami Heat 39 43 35.3
22 Los Angeles Lakers 37 45 35.2
23 Minnesota Timberwolves 36 46 35.1
24 Dallas Mavericks 33 49 33.9
25 Washington Wizards 32 50 32.1
26 Atlanta Hawks 29 53 26.1
27 Chicago Bulls 22 60 19.6
28 New York Knicks 17 65 17.5
29 Phoenix Suns 19 63 17.2
30 Cleveland Cavaliers 19 63 17.0

by Derek Reifer, Northwestern University