History of the 4th Pick

Welcome to Corner Three’s Draft Pick History (more here)! How valuable is the 4th pick?

Of the 26 picks since 1995:

  • 8 players have made All-Star Teams (31%)
  • 4 players have made All-NBA Teams (15%)
  • The median career Win Shares is 28.4

Expected player values for the 4th pick would be:

BestChris Paul
MedianTristan Thompson
WorstMarcus Fizer

The mean 4th pick has averaged:

Points/game13.1
Rebounds/game5.2
Assists/game2.9
Steals/game0.9
Blocks/game0.6

Here’s what the latest contract for the 4th pick looks like:

YearSalaryNotes
1$7,068,360
2$7,422,000
3$7,775,400Team Option
4$9,835,881Team Option
5$12,973,527Qualifying offer

And here’s every 4th pick since 1995:

PlayerTeamYearAll-Star TeamsAll-NBA TeamsWin Shares
Patrick WilliamsCHI20202.5
De’Andre HunterLAL20191.8
Jaren JacksonMEM20187.5
Josh JacksonPHO2017-1.7
Dragan BenderPHO20160.5
Kristaps PorziņģisNYK201521.5
Aaron GordonORL201423.6
Cody ZellerCHA201331.0
Dion WaitersCLE20128.8
Tristan ThompsonCLE201146.0
Wesley JohnsonMIN201010.7
Tyreke EvansSAC200928.4
Russell WestbrookSEA2008104.8
Mike ConleyMEM2007 80.1
Tyrus ThomasPOR200613
Chris PaulNOH2005 189.5
Shaun LivingstonLAC200429.9
Chris BoshTOR2003106
Drew GoodenMEM200243.9
Eddy CurryCHI200121.7
Marcus FizerCHI20002.7
Lamar OdomLAC199977
Antawn JamisonTOR199887.8
Antonio DanielsVAN199747
Stephon MarburyMIL199677.5
Rasheed WallaceWSB1995105.1
Italicized players are still active

Thanks to our sources, Basketball Reference and Spotrac.

Draft History compiled by Derek Reifer & RJ Garcia.