History of the 1st Pick

Welcome to Corner Three’s Draft Pick History! How valuable is the 1st pick?

Of the 25 picks since 1995:

  • 14 players have made All-Star Teams (56%)
  • 14 players have made All-NBA Teams (56%)
  • The median career Win Shares is 48.0

Expected player values for the 1st pick would be:

BestLeBron James
MedianKenyon Martin
WorstAnthony Bennett

The mean 1st pick has averaged:

Points/game16.5
Rebounds/game7.0
Assists/game3.2
Steals/game0.9
Blocks/game1.0

Here’s what the latest contract for the 1st pick looks like:

YearSalaryNotes
1$9,757,440
2$10,245,480
3$10,733,400Team Option
4$13,534,817Team Option
5$17,595,263Qualifying offer

And here’s every 1st pick since 1995:

PlayerTeamYearAll-Star TeamsAll-NBA TeamsWin Shares
Anthony EdwardsMIN2020
Zion WilliamsonNOP20192
Deandre AytonPHO20189
Markelle FultzPHI20173.2
Ben SimmonsPHI201624.4
Karl-Anthony TownsMIN201550.4
Andrew WigginsCLE201415
Anthony BennettCLE20130.5
Anthony DavisNOH201283.1
Kyrie IrvingCLE201161.3
John WallWAS201044.3
Blake GriffinLAC200975.2
Derrick RoseCHI200839.7
Greg OdenPOR20077.3
Andrea BargnaniTOR200618.9
Andrew BogutMIL200550.6
Dwight HowardORL2004134.2
LeBron JamesCLE2003236.4
Yao MingHOU200265.9
Kwame BrownWAS200120.8
Kenyon MartinNJN200048
Elton BrandCHI1999109.6
Michael OlowokandiLAC19982.5
Tim DuncanSAS1997206.4
Allen IversonPHI199699
Joe SmithGSW199560.3
Italicized players are still active

Thanks to our sources, Basketball Reference and Spotrac.

Draft History compiled by Derek ReiferRJ Garcia.